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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.14vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-2.60+3.46vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-1.31+0.43vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-1.08-0.82vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.73+0.68vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.88-0.14vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-2.77-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-2.71-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.14University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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5.46Lake Forest College-2.600.0%1st Place
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3.43Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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3.18Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.68Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.86Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.72Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 87.7% | 11.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Moya | 0.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 18.8% | 15.7% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.3% | 26.4% | 26.3% | 20.5% | 14.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.1% | 32.1% | 30.2% | 17.3% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Lily Rouget | 0.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 18.2% | 21.8% | 18.6% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 0.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 24.4% |
| Caroline Bielski | 1.2% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 22.5% |
| Jack Morby | 0.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.