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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.14vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.08+1.23vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-2.38+2.13vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-1.31-0.46vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.73+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois-2.71-0.36vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.88-1.04vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.77-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.14University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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3.23Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.13Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
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3.54Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.7Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
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5.96Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.65Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 87.3% | 11.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.2% | 32.4% | 28.5% | 16.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 1.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.4% | 24.6% | 26.3% | 22.2% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Lily Rouget | 0.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 18.9% |
| Jack Morby | 1.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 15.5% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 1.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 20.0% | 28.0% |
| Caroline Bielski | 0.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.