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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.95+0.13vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-1.31+1.54vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-2.38+2.13vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.71+1.71vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-1.08-1.77vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-2.88-0.12vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-2.73-1.28vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-2.77-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.13University of Wisconsin1.950.9%1st Place
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3.54Michigan Technological University-1.310.0%1st Place
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5.13Lake Forest College-2.380.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Illinois-2.710.0%1st Place
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3.23Marquette University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.88Northwestern University-2.880.0%1st Place
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5.72Purdue University-2.730.0%1st Place
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5.65Marquette University-2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Spencer | 88.2% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.3% | 25.0% | 27.1% | 19.8% | 13.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Wiktoria Pedryc | 1.5% | 7.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 10.8% |
| Jack Morby | 0.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 20.7% | 20.7% |
| Colin Hexter | 4.0% | 33.1% | 25.6% | 20.7% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Varoon Enjeti | 0.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 18.9% | 17.0% | 26.5% |
| Lily Rouget | 1.3% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 21.7% | 21.7% |
| Caroline Bielski | 0.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 19.1% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.