Race 3A

south-series-7-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Pellegrini 26.8% 22.2% 19.1% 11.7% 8.6% 5.0% 3.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Matthew Schon 14.8% 15.3% 15.2% 13.9% 11.3% 10.1% 7.4% 5.9% 3.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 10.2% 8.5% 11.4% 10.0% 10.6% 11.1% 11.4% 10.8% 8.2% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9%
Steven Pelissier 5.5% 8.3% 9.1% 10.2% 12.3% 10.2% 9.0% 9.8% 9.9% 7.8% 5.3% 2.6%
Alexander Rudkin 3.8% 4.3% 5.3% 5.5% 7.6% 8.7% 8.0% 10.4% 10.2% 13.7% 11.9% 10.6%
T. Max Bulger 9.5% 9.7% 8.7% 10.5% 11.6% 10.8% 11.3% 9.6% 8.5% 5.1% 3.9% 0.8%
Angus Page 4.5% 5.0% 5.0% 7.4% 6.3% 9.4% 8.6% 9.8% 10.8% 13.1% 11.8% 8.3%
Cecilia Strombeck 13.7% 12.7% 10.8% 12.0% 12.2% 10.3% 9.3% 7.6% 5.6% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9%
Jacob Tronaas 3.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.7% 9.6% 11.6% 11.6% 13.1% 12.2% 6.1%
Ian Gilchrist 2.2% 2.3% 2.1% 4.1% 2.2% 3.7% 6.1% 6.3% 8.2% 12.0% 19.9% 30.9%
Tyler Black 3.7% 4.1% 5.2% 6.4% 6.3% 8.0% 10.1% 9.5% 12.6% 13.0% 10.9% 10.2%
Zachary O'Brien 1.9% 3.2% 2.8% 1.7% 3.6% 4.0% 5.9% 6.4% 10.4% 12.2% 19.2% 28.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.