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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01+5.48vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24+2.50vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.05+0.08vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology1.06-0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.08-0.03vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.96-3.83vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College0.21-3.52vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.42-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.66-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.63-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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4.5Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.08Cornell University1.050.2%1st Place
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3.07Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.2%1st Place
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4.97University of Pittsburgh-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.17Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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4.48Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.11Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rochester-2.660.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Military Academy-3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wynne | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 22.4% | 26.5% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| Anthony Farrar | 9.9% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 5.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Merrill | 22.5% | 20.5% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Turner | 22.1% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Polaski | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 17.9% | 8.9% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 23.0% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 33.5% | 18.4% | 3.0% |
| Asa Guldbrandsen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 46.6% | 25.7% |
| Nic Delia | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 20.4% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.