Race 4A

south-series-7-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Steven Pelissier 7.0% 7.2% 8.7% 9.6% 8.4% 11.7% 10.8% 10.6% 9.7% 7.9% 5.4% 3.0%
Cecilia Strombeck 9.9% 13.2% 13.7% 11.5% 11.0% 11.2% 11.3% 7.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Peter Pellegrini 28.4% 22.5% 15.9% 13.1% 9.4% 4.8% 3.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Gilchrist 1.3% 1.3% 2.6% 3.3% 3.1% 4.7% 5.0% 7.1% 9.2% 12.1% 19.7% 30.6%
Angus Page 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 8.5% 8.0% 9.8% 8.1% 10.9% 13.9% 12.5% 8.2%
Timothy Scanlon 9.5% 9.8% 9.8% 12.1% 11.1% 12.2% 10.3% 9.5% 6.6% 5.1% 3.3% 0.7%
Alexander Rudkin 4.4% 4.0% 6.6% 5.2% 8.1% 7.9% 8.4% 10.5% 12.0% 11.9% 12.6% 8.4%
Matthew Schon 16.8% 16.0% 14.9% 10.9% 11.2% 10.7% 7.2% 5.5% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4%
T. Max Bulger 9.0% 9.1% 10.3% 13.7% 11.7% 10.7% 9.5% 9.5% 7.3% 6.0% 2.7% 0.5%
Jacob Tronaas 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 7.2% 7.0% 8.9% 12.0% 12.4% 11.5% 11.9% 8.7%
Tyler Black 3.6% 4.4% 4.4% 5.8% 7.7% 6.4% 10.0% 11.6% 12.6% 12.3% 11.6% 9.6%
Zachary O'Brien 1.7% 3.1% 2.4% 2.8% 2.6% 4.7% 5.5% 6.6% 9.9% 13.6% 17.6% 29.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.