Race 2A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Barrett Lhamon 20.9% 21.4% 18.9% 15.7% 9.6% 8.6% 3.5% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 22.9% 21.2% 18.7% 15.6% 11.8% 5.6% 3.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 10.8% 10.0% 12.5% 13.6% 17.8% 18.8% 11.7% 4.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Henry Polaski 6.5% 8.1% 10.9% 13.7% 15.1% 19.6% 15.9% 8.2% 2.0% 0.0%
Alan Becker 10.0% 11.3% 12.7% 15.5% 17.3% 16.1% 10.4% 5.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Cameron Turner 24.4% 22.0% 17.8% 15.6% 11.9% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
John Wynne 2.4% 2.7% 3.9% 5.3% 8.4% 13.6% 27.6% 25.5% 9.4% 1.2%
Collin Ross 1.5% 2.1% 4.2% 3.6% 5.7% 8.5% 18.2% 35.6% 17.3% 3.3%
Nic Delia 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 5.2% 21.9% 67.2%
Carlos Lopez 0.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.9% 2.0% 2.3% 4.6% 13.1% 47.6% 28.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.