Race 3A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Anthony Farrar 10.4% 12.6% 11.7% 14.9% 15.4% 16.3% 11.4% 5.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 23.3% 21.9% 16.9% 16.2% 10.8% 7.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Polaski 7.2% 8.6% 9.1% 10.1% 15.3% 21.1% 16.2% 9.5% 2.7% 0.2%
Jack Merrill 23.2% 19.4% 20.1% 16.1% 11.3% 6.5% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Barrett Lhamon 20.5% 20.6% 20.3% 15.3% 11.5% 6.3% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Alan Becker 9.8% 11.0% 12.7% 14.0% 18.7% 14.8% 12.8% 4.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Collin Ross 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 3.7% 5.6% 8.4% 16.7% 29.3% 25.0% 5.4%
Martin Oka 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 3.2% 3.2% 6.7% 11.0% 19.2% 41.6% 11.2%
John Wynne 3.1% 2.7% 4.1% 6.5% 7.9% 11.9% 20.8% 24.0% 16.5% 2.5%
Nic Delia 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.9% 2.4% 4.4% 10.7% 80.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.