Race 4A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cameron Turner 24.3% 22.0% 17.4% 14.9% 10.5% 6.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 9.5% 10.7% 13.4% 16.0% 15.4% 16.4% 10.8% 6.0% 1.6% 0.2%
Henry Polaski 7.5% 7.4% 10.0% 12.2% 13.8% 20.1% 17.9% 8.7% 2.3% 0.1%
Alan Becker 8.6% 10.3% 13.8% 14.5% 18.0% 16.5% 11.1% 5.6% 1.5% 0.1%
Jack Merrill 22.7% 22.5% 17.9% 16.4% 10.0% 6.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Barrett Lhamon 21.9% 20.4% 18.5% 14.2% 13.8% 6.7% 3.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Collin Ross 1.4% 2.0% 2.3% 3.7% 6.5% 8.5% 14.6% 28.3% 27.0% 5.7%
John Wynne 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.4% 7.8% 12.9% 20.2% 25.4% 15.4% 2.1%
Martin Oka 1.0% 1.1% 2.0% 2.5% 3.5% 5.4% 13.5% 18.6% 41.5% 10.9%
Nic Delia 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 2.3% 4.5% 10.0% 80.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.