Race 5A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ethan Stone 12.3% 13.6% 13.6% 15.5% 15.1% 13.8% 10.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 22.6% 20.3% 16.5% 18.8% 11.0% 7.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 9.5% 10.4% 12.3% 13.7% 17.5% 16.5% 14.5% 4.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Cameron Turner 22.0% 20.3% 20.0% 16.8% 10.8% 6.4% 3.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Henry Polaski 7.9% 8.9% 9.5% 10.6% 16.5% 19.7% 16.0% 8.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Josephine Freis 1.2% 0.4% 2.2% 1.6% 3.3% 4.9% 8.6% 18.3% 43.0% 16.5%
John Wynne 1.8% 3.4% 4.1% 5.3% 6.9% 13.7% 21.9% 25.7% 15.1% 2.1%
Nic Delia 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 2.6% 5.0% 14.0% 76.4%
Collin Ross 2.0% 2.0% 3.0% 3.1% 5.4% 9.5% 16.6% 30.8% 23.0% 4.6%
Barrett Lhamon 20.6% 20.5% 18.5% 14.2% 13.0% 7.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.