Race 6A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cameron Turner 25.5% 20.1% 18.2% 13.1% 12.1% 7.1% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 23.1% 19.7% 20.3% 14.2% 11.8% 6.6% 2.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ethan Stone 11.0% 12.9% 13.1% 13.1% 18.9% 17.5% 9.4% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Henry Polaski 5.6% 8.1% 11.2% 13.0% 14.7% 18.6% 16.4% 9.4% 2.7% 0.3%
Barrett Lhamon 19.3% 21.6% 18.1% 18.1% 10.9% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 10.4% 11.0% 11.5% 16.6% 15.6% 16.4% 13.2% 4.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Collin Ross 1.6% 1.3% 2.5% 3.8% 5.4% 9.7% 17.0% 30.2% 23.3% 5.2%
John Wynne 2.7% 3.7% 4.2% 5.4% 7.4% 12.2% 23.4% 25.1% 14.3% 1.6%
Josephine Freis 0.6% 1.4% 0.7% 2.5% 2.6% 4.1% 9.7% 17.7% 45.1% 15.6%
Nic Delia 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.6% 6.1% 12.7% 77.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.