Race 7A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Anthony Farrar 10.5% 13.1% 11.2% 13.2% 16.4% 15.6% 13.3% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Ethan Stone 11.6% 12.1% 13.3% 16.6% 15.7% 15.2% 11.0% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Cameron Turner 22.2% 20.7% 18.5% 15.9% 11.9% 7.3% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 20.7% 20.7% 21.1% 15.8% 11.4% 6.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Polaski 7.9% 9.0% 7.9% 13.1% 13.7% 20.4% 17.0% 8.6% 2.2% 0.2%
Barrett Lhamon 22.0% 18.6% 19.3% 15.1% 13.7% 6.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
John Wynne 2.3% 2.3% 3.7% 5.2% 8.5% 13.7% 21.6% 27.2% 13.5% 2.0%
Collin Ross 1.5% 2.5% 3.5% 3.2% 5.8% 8.6% 16.6% 29.1% 25.2% 4.0%
Josephine Freis 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 2.7% 4.9% 8.2% 19.5% 44.2% 15.8%
Nic Delia 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 1.1% 2.3% 5.1% 12.6% 77.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.