Race 8A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Cameron Turner 25.5% 19.5% 17.2% 14.4% 11.9% 7.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 9.4% 10.2% 13.1% 13.7% 17.7% 16.9% 11.7% 5.7% 1.5% 0.1%
Henry Polaski 6.8% 7.7% 10.4% 10.7% 14.1% 20.4% 19.1% 8.1% 2.6% 0.1%
Barrett Lhamon 19.0% 21.6% 18.0% 17.0% 11.3% 8.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Jack Merrill 23.1% 20.6% 18.0% 17.5% 10.7% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Collin Ross 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 3.8% 5.6% 9.5% 15.0% 31.1% 21.9% 5.6%
Ethan Stone 9.7% 13.4% 14.9% 14.5% 19.5% 14.1% 9.9% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1%
John Wynne 2.9% 3.2% 4.6% 6.0% 6.4% 13.3% 23.6% 23.9% 14.4% 1.7%
Josephine Freis 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% 2.4% 3.4% 8.7% 19.3% 45.4% 15.6%
Nic Delia 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.7% 2.8% 5.6% 12.8% 76.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.