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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+3.45vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology1.06+1.11vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College0.40+1.25vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.05-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-0.08+0.01vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.96-3.79vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-1.31vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-1.42-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.15-1.85vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-4.61-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.11Rochester Institute of Technology1.060.2%1st Place
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4.25Hamilton College0.400.1%1st Place
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3.11Cornell University1.050.2%1st Place
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5.01University of Pittsburgh-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.21Penn State University0.960.2%1st Place
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6.69Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.21Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Rochester-2.150.0%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Turner | 22.0% | 21.7% | 18.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Stone | 11.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 17.6% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Merrill | 20.9% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Polaski | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 17.3% | 8.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 21.9% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Wynne | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 14.2% | 23.1% | 27.6% | 12.7% | 0.9% |
| Collin Ross | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 30.1% | 25.9% | 1.4% |
| Josephine Freis | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 21.3% | 51.1% | 7.2% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 6.5% | 90.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.