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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.26vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-0.02+0.88vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.50vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.38-1.67vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.47+0.05vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.09-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.56-1.17vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-3.63-0.94vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.56-1.94vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-5.30-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.88Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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4.5Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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2.33Cornell University0.380.3%1st Place
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5.05Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.06Rochester Institute of Technology-3.630.0%1st Place
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8.06Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 17.7% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 17.5% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 23.1% | 22.7% | 21.8% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 33.6% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 24.7% | 15.3% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Kearns | 8.6% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 20.3% | 18.1% | 10.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 30.3% | 25.6% | 11.2% | 1.6% |
| Hayden Robertson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 11.9% | 27.5% | 37.6% | 10.4% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 12.8% | 28.2% | 35.8% | 11.2% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 6.1% | 12.9% | 76.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.