Race 5A

south-series-7-salve-regina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Pellegrini 28.3% 22.2% 17.8% 12.2% 9.5% 5.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Steven Pelissier 7.5% 7.9% 9.8% 9.6% 11.9% 11.3% 12.0% 10.3% 11.1% 6.4% 2.2%
Matthew Schon 13.9% 16.0% 14.0% 16.2% 10.7% 11.5% 6.8% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.1%
T. Max Bulger 7.9% 11.0% 9.6% 10.7% 13.1% 11.8% 11.7% 10.3% 7.7% 4.4% 1.8%
Jacob Tronaas 4.7% 4.7% 5.6% 7.1% 7.1% 8.5% 10.4% 12.6% 14.9% 14.1% 10.3%
Zachary O'Brien 2.1% 1.5% 3.3% 2.8% 4.7% 5.8% 7.4% 7.9% 13.5% 20.3% 30.7%
Tyler Black 5.1% 4.8% 6.5% 6.5% 7.8% 9.7% 11.4% 14.4% 12.6% 13.1% 8.1%
Timothy Scanlon 10.7% 11.3% 11.1% 12.9% 11.5% 12.0% 9.9% 8.6% 7.3% 3.9% 0.8%
Ian Gilchrist 2.1% 2.7% 2.0% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 6.6% 8.4% 10.5% 19.6% 37.2%
Cecilia Strombeck 13.3% 13.3% 13.3% 12.0% 12.3% 11.9% 9.9% 6.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Alexander Rudkin 4.4% 4.6% 7.0% 7.1% 7.7% 7.5% 11.2% 14.2% 14.0% 14.1% 8.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.