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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.22vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College-0.02+0.88vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.38-0.62vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.47+1.14vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-1.07-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-1.09-2.54vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-3.63+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-2.56-2.31vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.56-1.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-5.30-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.88Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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2.38Cornell University0.380.3%1st Place
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5.14Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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4.44Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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8.15Rochester Institute of Technology-3.630.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.05Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 19.7% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 22.5% | 24.2% | 20.7% | 16.2% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 32.9% | 27.2% | 19.4% | 12.8% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 18.1% | 24.1% | 16.4% | 7.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 9.0% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Robertson | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 28.1% | 38.1% | 11.1% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 31.3% | 24.1% | 10.2% | 1.1% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 13.7% | 27.3% | 36.6% | 10.4% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 77.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.