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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.26vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-0.02-0.12vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.38-1.65vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-1.07-0.51vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.09-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-2.56-0.27vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.47-2.85vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-3.56-1.01vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-3.63-1.86vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-5.30-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.88Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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2.35Cornell University0.380.3%1st Place
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4.49Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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5.15Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.99Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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8.14Rochester Institute of Technology-3.630.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 19.6% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 22.7% | 24.2% | 19.1% | 18.7% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 34.0% | 27.8% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Kearns | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 20.6% | 9.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 13.8% | 29.6% | 25.4% | 11.2% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 18.5% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 13.2% | 28.9% | 35.3% | 9.7% |
| Hayden Robertson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 27.4% | 37.8% | 12.2% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.