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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.38+1.33vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.28vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-0.02-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-1.09-0.49vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-1.07-1.56vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-2.56-0.29vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-3.56+0.07vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.47-3.91vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-3.63-1.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-5.30-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Cornell University0.380.4%1st Place
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3.28Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.88Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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4.44Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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6.71University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.07Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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5.09Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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8.11Rochester Institute of Technology-3.630.0%1st Place
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9.59U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Lane | 37.1% | 26.2% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 16.5% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 22.3% | 22.8% | 21.2% | 18.4% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 6.9% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 21.0% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.8% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 19.2% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 30.5% | 25.2% | 10.8% | 1.3% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 13.7% | 30.6% | 35.6% | 9.7% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 24.3% | 17.4% | 5.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Robertson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 25.9% | 38.2% | 11.9% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.