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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+1.73vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06+3.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.38-1.77vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-1.29vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.47-0.99vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.56+1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-1.09-3.60vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-2.08-2.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.56-3.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-4.61-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Hamilton College-0.020.3%1st Place
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6.13Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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2.23Cornell University0.380.4%1st Place
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3.71Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.01Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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8.31Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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4.4University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.12Penn State Behrend-2.080.0%1st Place
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6.97University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 27.5% | 24.0% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Arocho | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 21.2% | 18.0% | 9.4% | 1.4% |
| Aidan Lane | 37.1% | 26.2% | 20.3% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 11.9% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 10.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 16.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 16.0% | 39.6% | 23.5% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.2% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Chon In Chan | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 9.9% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 27.7% | 19.1% | 3.8% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 17.8% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.