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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+1.72vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06+3.12vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.09+0.46vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-1.32vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.38-3.82vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.56+1.28vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-2.08-1.82vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.47-3.96vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.56-3.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-4.61-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Hamilton College-0.020.3%1st Place
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6.12Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.46University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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3.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.18Cornell University0.380.4%1st Place
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8.28Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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6.18Penn State Behrend-2.080.0%1st Place
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5.04Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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6.94University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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9.39U. S. Military Academy-4.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 26.2% | 25.2% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Arocho | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 20.4% | 19.0% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.9% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 11.8% | 16.6% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Lane | 39.1% | 28.6% | 16.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 14.8% | 40.4% | 23.2% |
| Chon In Chan | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 10.5% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 27.0% | 18.2% | 3.9% |
| Sophie Fernandez | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 16.5% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.