← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Michael Stewart 23.8% 22.6% 20.4% 13.3% 11.3% 5.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Cole Bender 17.7% 18.4% 19.1% 18.3% 13.9% 7.4% 3.7% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryce Nill 7.2% 8.7% 12.5% 15.3% 16.3% 18.7% 13.8% 6.2% 1.3% 0.0%
Margaret Arocho 2.2% 2.5% 5.2% 7.7% 11.3% 14.1% 23.1% 24.1% 9.1% 0.7%
Olivia Kearns 7.7% 10.6% 11.8% 14.8% 17.5% 17.2% 12.7% 6.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Joseph Dapello 2.0% 2.2% 3.5% 5.2% 6.2% 9.4% 16.7% 31.2% 21.0% 2.6%
Joseph Simpkins 4.7% 5.8% 9.1% 11.5% 15.2% 20.5% 17.9% 11.9% 3.2% 0.2%
Laura Jayne 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 2.0% 2.3% 4.5% 7.7% 15.0% 52.9% 13.2%
Kayla Teuscher 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 1.4% 2.6% 11.0% 83.2%
Aidan Lane 34.1% 28.2% 16.8% 11.7% 5.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.