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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+1.96vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.37vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-1.07+1.75vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06+2.38vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.09-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-2.56+0.07vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.47-2.60vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-3.56-0.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-5.30-0.31vs Predicted
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11Cornell University0.38-8.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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3.37Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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4.75Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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6.38Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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7.07University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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5.4Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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8.34Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
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2.39Cornell University0.380.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 23.8% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 17.7% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Arocho | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 24.1% | 9.1% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Kearns | 7.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Dapello | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 16.7% | 31.2% | 21.0% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 52.9% | 13.2% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 11.0% | 83.2% |
| Aidan Lane | 34.1% | 28.2% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.