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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.36vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.38+0.39vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-0.020.00vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-1.09+0.73vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06+1.29vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-1.07-1.36vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.47-2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-2.56-1.91vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.56-1.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-5.30-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.2%1st Place
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2.39Cornell University0.380.3%1st Place
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3.0Hamilton College-0.020.2%1st Place
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4.73University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.29Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.64Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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5.38Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.4Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 18.6% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 35.0% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stewart | 21.8% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Kearns | 5.9% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 18.6% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Margaret Arocho | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 15.2% | 20.7% | 24.8% | 9.5% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Nill | 9.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 17.6% | 18.3% | 12.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 3.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 18.5% | 20.1% | 12.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 17.8% | 32.0% | 20.3% | 2.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 14.7% | 54.6% | 13.4% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 10.8% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.