← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College-0.02+1.83vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University0.38+0.33vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67-0.07vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-1.47+0.32vs Predicted
-
6Penn State Behrend-1.07-1.46vs Predicted
-
7University of Pittsburgh-1.09-2.43vs Predicted
-
8Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-1.65vs Predicted
-
9University of Rochester-2.56-1.95vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-3.56-1.63vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Military Academy-5.30-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.83Hamilton College-0.020.3%1st Place
-
2.33Cornell University0.380.4%1st Place
-
3.93Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
-
5.32Penn State University-1.470.0%1st Place
-
4.54Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
-
4.57University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
-
6.35Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.05University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
-
8.37Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
-
9.71U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 25.8% | 24.3% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 35.3% | 26.9% | 19.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 4.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 12.0% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Nill | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Kearns | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Arocho | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.9% | 23.8% | 23.5% | 8.9% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 16.8% | 31.3% | 20.8% | 2.1% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 13.8% | 54.6% | 13.2% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 3.6% | 10.5% | 83.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.