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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-0.02+1.86vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.67+1.91vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.38-1.66vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-1.07-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-1.09-1.45vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-2.06-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.56-0.85vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-3.56-0.67vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.47-4.71vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-5.30-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Hamilton College-0.020.3%1st Place
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3.91Rochester Institute of Technology-0.670.1%1st Place
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2.34Cornell University0.380.3%1st Place
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4.61Penn State Behrend-1.070.1%1st Place
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4.55University of Pittsburgh-1.090.1%1st Place
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6.26Rochester Institute of Technology-2.060.0%1st Place
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7.15University of Rochester-2.560.0%1st Place
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8.33Syracuse University-3.560.0%1st Place
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5.29Penn State University-1.470.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Military Academy-5.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 25.4% | 24.5% | 20.1% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla Maguire | 12.3% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Lane | 33.7% | 28.2% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 7.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Kearns | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Arocho | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 10.0% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Dapello | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 33.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% |
| Laura Jayne | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 14.4% | 54.3% | 12.7% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 18.9% | 12.0% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Kayla Teuscher | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 10.6% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.