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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.50+4.45vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.11+2.31vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40+0.58vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+1.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.91vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.00-2.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.72-3.01vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University3.06-4.76vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University1.71-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.45Bowdoin College2.500.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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3.58Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.1%1st Place
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5.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.1%1st Place
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4.31Yale University3.000.1%1st Place
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4.99Dartmouth College2.720.1%1st Place
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4.24Salve Regina University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.99Wesleyan University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Bolmgren | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 11.9% |
| Quentin Chafee | 12.0% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 21.3% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Michael Reney | 5.3% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 20.0% |
| William Cotta | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.5% |
| Michael Hession | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% |
| Peter Hughes | 10.3% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.3% |
| Eric Decesar | 14.9% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Dylan Griffin | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 39.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.