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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+6.46vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+8.68vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.22+9.54vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.99+5.45vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.81+5.17vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20+2.12vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.51+4.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10+2.42vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-3.35vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.02-1.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.09-2.76vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.30-8.13vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.97-3.69vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.72vs Predicted
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15Tufts University0.54-1.54vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.84vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.07-5.22vs Predicted
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18George Washington University0.93-5.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.46Cornell University2.387.5%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.103.1%1st Place
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12.54Northeastern University1.222.2%1st Place
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9.45Brown University1.994.0%1st Place
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10.17College of Charleston1.813.7%1st Place
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8.12Georgetown University2.206.4%1st Place
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11.38Bowdoin College1.512.6%1st Place
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10.42Dartmouth College2.103.0%1st Place
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5.65Yale University2.7112.7%1st Place
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8.15Tulane University2.026.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston College2.096.7%1st Place
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3.87Stanford University3.3021.6%1st Place
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9.31Roger Williams University1.974.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Pennsylvania1.776.2%1st Place
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13.46Tufts University0.541.7%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.774.3%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida1.072.5%1st Place
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12.89George Washington University0.931.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Emma Tallman | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Sarah Young | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Gardner | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 21.6% | 18.4% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 22.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Kailey Warrior | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.