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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+1.86vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.31+1.98vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.81+2.29vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+0.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+2.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.55-0.17vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.19+1.61vs Predicted
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9Amherst College2.01-2.08vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.96-2.79vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.76-5.92vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.29-3.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Salve Regina University3.920.3%1st Place
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3.98Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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5.29Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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4.75Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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5.83University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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8.61Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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6.92Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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5.08Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 27.8% | 22.8% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schon | 16.6% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 33.6% |
| Tyler Black | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 15.1% | 11.2% |
| T. Max Bulger | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 18.9% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.