← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.56+4.06vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+5.02vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.84+1.50vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.10+2.28vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.38+1.05vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College0.70-1.08vs Predicted
-
7Boston University0.25-0.28vs Predicted
-
8Williams College-0.90+3.11vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut-0.80+0.64vs Predicted
-
10University of New Hampshire-1.41+1.62vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-1.11-0.11vs Predicted
-
12Amherst College-0.35-3.60vs Predicted
-
13University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-2.58vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-0.79-3.95vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire-0.99-4.30vs Predicted
-
16Amherst College-1.69-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.06University of Vermont0.5613.4%1st Place
-
7.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.026.9%1st Place
-
4.5University of Vermont0.8415.5%1st Place
-
6.28University of New Hampshire0.109.2%1st Place
-
6.05Brown University0.389.0%1st Place
-
4.92Dartmouth College0.7013.9%1st Place
-
6.72Boston University0.258.3%1st Place
-
11.11Williams College-0.901.9%1st Place
-
9.64University of Connecticut-0.803.8%1st Place
-
11.62University of New Hampshire-1.411.7%1st Place
-
10.89University of New Hampshire-1.112.4%1st Place
-
8.4Amherst College-0.354.9%1st Place
-
10.42University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.972.8%1st Place
-
10.05Middlebury College-0.792.5%1st Place
-
10.7University of New Hampshire-0.992.5%1st Place
-
12.61Amherst College-1.691.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sanborn | 13.4% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Delong | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Harris | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Case | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ava Hurwitz | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 16.2% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% |
| Nat Edmonds | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Grace Augspurger | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Henry Poynter | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.