← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.34vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.69+3.34vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.62+6.32vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.12+0.24vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.75+3.64vs Predicted
-
6Brown University2.46+0.43vs Predicted
-
7Boston University1.44+3.06vs Predicted
-
8Washington College0.51+4.93vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University0.97+2.95vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.57-0.52vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.30-4.05vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University1.26-1.31vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan0.10+1.36vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College1.49-3.97vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island1.84-6.50vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University1.65-6.69vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania1.88-8.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.34U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
-
5.34Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
-
9.32Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
-
4.24Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
8.64College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
-
6.43Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
-
10.06Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
12.93Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
-
11.95Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
-
9.48Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
-
6.95Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.69George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
14.36University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
-
10.03Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
-
8.5University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
9.31Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
-
8.43University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.6% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 22.1% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 11.5% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 5.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 42.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Emily Allen | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.