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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.15vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.50vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston1.75+4.88vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.49+4.67vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.46+0.45vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.88+1.35vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.62+1.16vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan0.10+5.47vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-1.61vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.44-0.86vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.30-5.18vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.97-1.19vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.65-4.64vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.50vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.26-5.24vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.51-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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5.5Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.67Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.45Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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14.47University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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10.14Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.82Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.81Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.36Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.5Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.76George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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13.29Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.9% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 12.6% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 17.6% | 42.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.5% |
| Emily Allen | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 4.8% |
| Kennedy Jones | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.