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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+7.64vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.69+3.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+5.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.40+2.54vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.49+4.61vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.51+7.39vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.26+3.75vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.88+0.19vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.97+2.94vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-0.80vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.12-6.65vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.10+2.31vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.46-6.63vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.44-3.82vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.30-8.26vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.65-6.64vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.57-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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5.36Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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13.39Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.75George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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11.94Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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4.35Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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14.31University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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10.18Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.36Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Bridget Green | 13.0% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 24.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 4.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 11.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 41.9% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Emily Allen | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.