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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.40+5.11vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+3.17vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+2.68vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+0.28vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+3.82vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57+2.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.44+1.63vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.02+2.58vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.10+4.24vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.75-2.15vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.88-3.80vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.55vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.65-4.81vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.97-3.42vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.51-2.84vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.26-6.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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4.08Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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6.17Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.28Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.82Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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9.37Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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14.24University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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8.45University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.19Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.58Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.16Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Blauvelt | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bridget Green | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 17.2% | 37.5% |
| Grace Squires | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Emily Allen | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 22.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.