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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.21vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.49+7.55vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.46+3.14vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88+4.22vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.75+3.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.49vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.51+6.11vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.30-1.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.10+4.20vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.57-1.51vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-0.61vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.26-2.36vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.65-4.78vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.97-3.41vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.84-7.66vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.12-12.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.55Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.14Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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8.5College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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6.49U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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13.11Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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6.61Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.2University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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9.49Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.39Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.22Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.59Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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4.24Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 15.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Grace Squires | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 18.6% | 21.7% |
| Sarah Burn | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 38.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Emily Allen | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 10.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.7% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.