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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.18+3.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.18+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+6.77vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.02+1.12vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.82+2.78vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.19+3.10vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.18vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.45-4.07vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.09-0.62vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-1.68+0.55vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.96-2.87vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.54-2.67vs Predicted
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14Amherst College-2.68-0.84vs Predicted
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15Amherst College-2.45-2.29vs Predicted
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16Williams College-1.12-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of Vermont0.1815.0%1st Place
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4.8Dartmouth College0.1814.0%1st Place
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9.77University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.5%1st Place
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5.12University of Vermont-0.0213.5%1st Place
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7.78University of New Hampshire-0.825.1%1st Place
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9.1University of Connecticut-1.193.3%1st Place
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7.18University of New Hampshire-0.006.5%1st Place
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3.93Brown University0.4519.8%1st Place
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8.38University of New Hampshire-1.094.0%1st Place
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10.55Middlebury College-1.682.2%1st Place
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8.13Boston University-0.964.8%1st Place
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11.88University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.1%1st Place
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10.33University of New Hampshire-1.542.9%1st Place
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13.16Amherst College-2.680.5%1st Place
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12.71Amherst College-2.451.4%1st Place
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8.53Williams College-1.123.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Amelotte | 15.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| William Denker | 13.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| James Sullivan | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Quinn Brighton | 19.8% | 18.6% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Robin Potter | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Nicholas David | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 17.1% | 36.0% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.4% | 26.6% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.