← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.03+3.65vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.81+3.03vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.55+2.92vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+3.27vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University3.31-1.02vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University3.92-3.13vs Predicted
-
7Bates College1.19+1.61vs Predicted
-
8Amherst College2.01-1.09vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.76-3.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island1.29-2.52vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University1.96-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.65Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
-
5.03Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
-
5.92University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
-
3.98Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
-
2.87Salve Regina University3.920.3%1st Place
-
8.61Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
-
6.91Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
-
5.31Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.48University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
-
6.98Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia Strombeck | 10.7% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 14.5% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Schon | 18.4% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 28.9% | 23.6% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 20.1% | 33.3% |
| Tyler Black | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| T. Max Bulger | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 20.0% | 29.8% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.