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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cecilia Strombeck 10.7% 13.3% 11.2% 14.6% 14.9% 10.4% 10.7% 6.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Timothy Scanlon 9.2% 11.1% 12.5% 12.7% 11.6% 11.6% 10.3% 10.0% 7.0% 3.4% 0.6%
Steven Pelissier 6.6% 7.9% 8.0% 9.8% 11.5% 11.6% 11.8% 11.5% 11.3% 7.1% 2.9%
Jacob Tronaas 3.3% 4.9% 5.8% 5.6% 6.2% 9.3% 9.7% 14.7% 14.5% 15.1% 10.9%
Matthew Schon 18.4% 14.5% 16.7% 12.5% 10.4% 10.4% 7.7% 4.6% 3.3% 0.9% 0.6%
Peter Pellegrini 28.9% 23.6% 16.4% 13.0% 7.1% 5.5% 3.6% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Ian Gilchrist 2.7% 2.5% 3.2% 2.4% 4.1% 5.6% 7.1% 8.5% 10.5% 20.1% 33.3%
Tyler Black 4.6% 5.0% 5.7% 7.9% 8.3% 9.3% 11.7% 12.0% 12.7% 13.0% 9.8%
T. Max Bulger 9.1% 9.7% 11.1% 11.3% 12.3% 11.9% 10.4% 8.3% 9.3% 4.2% 2.4%
Zachary O'Brien 1.9% 2.5% 3.9% 2.8% 4.6% 7.2% 6.5% 8.9% 11.9% 20.0% 29.8%
Alexander Rudkin 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 7.4% 9.0% 7.2% 10.5% 13.5% 14.2% 14.2% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.