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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.65+7.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.04vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.49+6.63vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+5.87vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.69+0.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.40+0.50vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.51+6.11vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.97+3.37vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.30-2.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-3.93vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.88-2.61vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.58vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.57-3.48vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.75-5.12vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.10-0.85vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.26-5.38vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Jacksonville University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.04Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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9.63Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.33Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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13.11Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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11.37Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.07Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.88College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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14.15University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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11.46Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.9% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Bridget Green | 13.2% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 20.1% | 20.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Grace Squires | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 40.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.