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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+4.37vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.49+7.70vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.88+4.42vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.30+1.70vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75+3.02vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+2.24vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.46-1.80vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-2.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.62-0.78vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.97+0.82vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.84-3.52vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan0.10+1.32vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.51-0.67vs Predicted
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15George Washington University1.26-4.31vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.57-6.37vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.44-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.7Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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4.17Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.42University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.02College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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9.24Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.2Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.82Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.48University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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14.32University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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13.33Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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10.69George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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10.06Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 2.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.5% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Emily Allen | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 41.1% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 25.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.