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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.13vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.88+6.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.40+3.42vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.30+2.85vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.26+5.52vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.69-0.40vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.65+2.24vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.49+1.61vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.57+0.72vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.46-3.87vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.84-2.32vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.44-2.03vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston1.75-4.06vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.97-2.08vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.51-1.81vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan0.10-1.64vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.62-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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8.3University of Pennsylvania1.880.1%1st Place
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6.42U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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5.6Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.24Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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9.61Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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9.72Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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6.13Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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8.68University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.97Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.94College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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11.92Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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13.19Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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14.36University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 21.4% | 16.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Rice | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Green | 11.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Kyra Phelan | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 10.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Grace Squires | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Katie Nelson | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 23.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 39.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.