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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.12+3.11vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.65+7.18vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.69+2.43vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.97+7.74vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.75+3.67vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.49+4.01vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.30-0.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.40-1.63vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+1.22vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.26+0.67vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.46-4.64vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62-2.69vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-4.40vs Predicted
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14Washington College0.51-0.69vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.57-5.45vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.88-7.65vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.10-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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9.18Jacksonville University1.650.0%1st Place
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5.43Cornell University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.74Florida State University0.970.0%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston1.750.0%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College1.490.0%1st Place
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6.78Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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10.22Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.67George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.36Brown University2.460.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University1.620.0%1st Place
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8.6University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.31Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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9.55Fordham University1.570.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania1.880.0%1st Place
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14.34University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 19.2% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Bridget Green | 13.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katie Nelson | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
| Grace Squires | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Kyra Phelan | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| Brielle Willoughby | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 19.4% | 23.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.