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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.49vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+4.00vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+0.89vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+4.60vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.04+1.15vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47-0.82vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.34-1.55vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.18-2.19vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+1.98vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-2.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.03vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.08-3.57vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.21-2.04vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-0.52vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.82-1.88vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.0Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.89Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.15College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.18Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.45Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.96George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.43Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.96Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.48Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Michigan-0.820.0%1st Place
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16.78Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.9% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Niah Ford | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 7.8% | 0.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 20.4% | 43.2% | 6.5% |
| Nina Gonzalez | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 26.9% | 30.7% | 3.8% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 89.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.