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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+3.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+4.21vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.76+1.38vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.31-0.98vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.96+1.21vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.81-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.29+0.41vs Predicted
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10Bates College1.19-1.19vs Predicted
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11Amherst College2.01-4.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.03-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Salve Regina University3.920.3%1st Place
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5.78University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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5.38Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.02Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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4.95Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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8.81Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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6.88Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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4.48Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 28.0% | 22.7% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| T. Max Bulger | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Schon | 17.1% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 10.7% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 20.4% | 27.1% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 36.8% |
| Tyler Black | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 7.2% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 12.1% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.