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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-0.00+6.09vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.18+2.87vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.45+0.86vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.82+3.77vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-1.68+5.63vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-1.19+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.18-2.42vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.96+0.10vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.09-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-1.54+0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont-0.02-5.91vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.92vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.68+0.25vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.12-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12-3.14vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-2.45-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09University of New Hampshire-0.005.9%1st Place
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4.87Dartmouth College0.1815.2%1st Place
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3.86Brown University0.4518.6%1st Place
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7.77University of New Hampshire-0.824.7%1st Place
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10.63Middlebury College-1.681.9%1st Place
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8.86University of Connecticut-1.193.5%1st Place
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4.58University of Vermont0.1815.3%1st Place
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8.1Boston University-0.964.6%1st Place
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8.45University of New Hampshire-1.094.7%1st Place
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10.48University of New Hampshire-1.542.2%1st Place
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5.09University of Vermont-0.0212.2%1st Place
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10.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.7%1st Place
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13.25Amherst College-2.680.9%1st Place
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8.47Williams College-1.124.8%1st Place
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11.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.8%1st Place
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12.57Amherst College-2.451.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Brighton | 18.6% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Lacoche | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Robin Potter | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 7.2% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 15.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas David | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% |
| William Denker | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 35.4% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.