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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Pellegrini 28.0% 22.7% 17.1% 14.0% 8.7% 5.6% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Steven Pelissier 6.8% 8.8% 9.5% 9.9% 9.8% 12.5% 12.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.9% 2.8%
Jacob Tronaas 4.4% 4.7% 5.1% 6.1% 6.5% 8.0% 10.6% 13.7% 17.2% 12.6% 11.1%
T. Max Bulger 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 11.1% 14.0% 12.3% 11.2% 10.3% 8.3% 4.1% 1.6%
Matthew Schon 17.1% 14.6% 16.0% 13.4% 12.7% 9.4% 6.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Alexander Rudkin 3.5% 4.7% 4.9% 6.2% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 14.8% 13.5% 15.0% 10.7%
Timothy Scanlon 10.7% 11.2% 11.8% 12.6% 12.4% 12.6% 9.8% 7.8% 5.6% 3.5% 2.0%
Zachary O'Brien 2.7% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 5.1% 5.8% 8.2% 10.6% 12.1% 20.4% 27.1%
Ian Gilchrist 2.0% 2.5% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 4.2% 6.0% 9.1% 11.2% 19.0% 36.8%
Tyler Black 4.6% 4.7% 6.6% 6.9% 8.0% 9.7% 12.5% 11.0% 13.9% 14.9% 7.2%
Cecilia Strombeck 12.1% 14.6% 14.1% 14.0% 10.4% 11.0% 11.2% 4.8% 5.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.