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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+3.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.14+9.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+0.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.30+4.67vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+0.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29-0.32vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.04-0.71vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.87vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-3.49vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.08-0.72vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.97vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.21-0.17vs Predicted
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13Fordham University0.99-3.26vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.22-4.99vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-0.51vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.82-1.84vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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11.94University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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3.88Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.67Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.89Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.29College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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5.51Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.28Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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11.83Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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14.49Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Michigan-0.820.0%1st Place
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16.79Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 17.3% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 18.6% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 4.8% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 8.1% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 43.5% | 6.5% |
| Nina Gonzalez | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 13.4% | 28.6% | 30.5% | 3.9% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 6.9% | 89.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.