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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+4.44vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+1.81vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+3.08vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.04+2.38vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.78vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47-0.79vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+1.65vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.21+3.64vs Predicted
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9Fordham University0.99+0.75vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.34-4.62vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.08-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.14+0.03vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.22-4.07vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.89vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-0.51vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.82-1.90vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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3.81Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.38College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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5.21Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.64Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.75Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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5.38Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.44Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.93George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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14.49Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Michigan-0.820.0%1st Place
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16.78Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 10.5% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.3% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 7.3% | 0.4% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 20.5% | 43.9% | 6.4% |
| Nina Gonzalez | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 13.3% | 28.1% | 30.1% | 3.9% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 6.4% | 89.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.