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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+5.10vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.18+2.84vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+2.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+3.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.92-2.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.86+2.99vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-2.50vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.08+0.41vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.47-4.95vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-2.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island0.14-0.02vs Predicted
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13Boston University-1.11+1.56vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.21-2.08vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.99-5.43vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.52-2.46vs Predicted
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17Washington College-3.47-0.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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5.31Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.84University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.08Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.0Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.5Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.41Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.9George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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14.56Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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11.92Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.57Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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13.54University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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16.8Washington College-3.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 17.4% | 18.2% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 8.4% | 0.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 19.2% | 46.3% | 8.0% |
| Niah Ford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 8.2% | 0.5% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 25.2% | 24.6% | 1.5% |
| Nora Beebe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 7.0% | 89.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.