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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+4.29vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.29+3.46vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+3.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92-0.08vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+3.57vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.04+0.48vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.08+2.48vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.47-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18-2.93vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.99-0.34vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-1.97vs Predicted
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12Florida State University0.21+0.11vs Predicted
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13Washington College-0.61+1.17vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.74vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.52-1.12vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island0.14-3.66vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.11-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.46Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.06Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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3.92Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.57Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.48College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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9.48Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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9.66Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.03George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.11Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.17Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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13.88University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.34University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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15.21Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.0% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.1% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Niah Ford | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 4.1% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 23.5% | 22.5% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 21.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 20.2% | 44.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.