← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.92+2.80vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.30+6.61vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.13+3.06vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.29+1.68vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy0.86+5.00vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.34-0.44vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.04-0.74vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.22+0.85vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.47-3.79vs Predicted
-
10University of Pennsylvania2.18-4.21vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University0.99-1.19vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.14+0.31vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University1.08-3.48vs Predicted
-
14Florida State University0.21-1.79vs Predicted
-
15Washington College-0.61-0.91vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-0.52-1.98vs Predicted
-
17Boston University-1.11-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.8Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
-
8.61Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
6.06Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.68Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
-
10.0U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
-
5.56Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.26College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
-
8.85George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
-
5.21Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
-
5.79University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
-
9.81Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.31University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.52Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
-
12.21Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
-
14.09Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
-
14.02University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
-
15.22Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 22.1% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 12.4% | 4.9% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Niah Ford | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 23.6% | 22.8% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 21.2% | 19.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 13.4% | 18.8% | 44.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.