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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+5.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+1.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+2.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.86+6.13vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.13+0.93vs Predicted
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6Fordham University0.99+3.88vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+1.97vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.08+1.25vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.34-3.48vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+2.32vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-5.28vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.52+1.98vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-4.18vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.18-8.00vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.21-2.96vs Predicted
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16Washington College-0.61-1.79vs Predicted
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17Boston University-1.11-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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3.8Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.13U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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5.93Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.97George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.25Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.52Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.72Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.98University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.82Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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12.04Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.21Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
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15.23Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 20.3% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 21.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 4.6% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 18.0% | 23.0% | 21.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.