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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.04+5.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.47+2.93vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.86+7.12vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+2.18vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.08+4.27vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29-0.25vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.34-1.63vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.92-4.11vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18-2.94vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+2.28vs Predicted
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11Fordham University0.99-1.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-3.35vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.22-3.99vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan-0.52+0.03vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.21-2.93vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.11-0.83vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.61-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.12U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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6.18Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.27Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.75Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.37Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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3.89Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.01George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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14.03University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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12.07Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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15.17Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.23Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Tallman | 9.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 21.8% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 23.1% | 21.3% |
| Niah Ford | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 43.1% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.