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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+2.55vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+3.81vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+1.74vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.18+0.38vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.22+2.57vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.30+1.18vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.34-3.02vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.86+0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.14+1.74vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.08-2.04vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.52+1.53vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.25-4.61vs Predicted
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14Florida State University0.21-2.33vs Predicted
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15Boston University-1.11-0.30vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.75-1.90vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.61-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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5.81College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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4.74Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.26Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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8.57George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.98Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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8.96Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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11.67Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.7Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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14.1Fordham University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.78Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 22.9% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.7% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 15.4% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Niah Ford | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 20.8% | 36.1% |
| Samantha Hemans | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 22.0% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.