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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+3.89vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.86+7.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.30+5.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.47+0.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.92-1.40vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.25+2.56vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.29-1.80vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.08+0.76vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.04-2.96vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.22-1.59vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.18-5.36vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-0.52+1.50vs Predicted
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13Florida State University0.21-1.42vs Predicted
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14Boston University-1.11+0.83vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.14-3.26vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.75-1.89vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.61-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.5U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.77Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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3.6Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.56Bowdoin College1.250.0%1st Place
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5.2Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.76Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.04College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.64University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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13.5University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.58Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.83Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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14.11Fordham University-0.750.0%1st Place
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13.76Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 22.0% | 21.1% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Reimer | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Torrey Chisari | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 14.3% |
| Niah Ford | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 20.7% | 36.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Samantha Hemans | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 21.8% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.