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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University3.92+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.55+3.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99+4.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+0.77vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.76+0.20vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.31-1.96vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.19+1.64vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.29+0.50vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.81-4.83vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.96-3.98vs Predicted
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12Amherst College2.01-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Salve Regina University3.920.3%1st Place
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5.71University of Vermont2.550.1%1st Place
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7.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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4.77Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University2.760.1%1st Place
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4.04Salve Regina University3.310.2%1st Place
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8.64Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Rhode Island1.290.0%1st Place
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5.17Dartmouth College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.02Roger Williams University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.85Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Pellegrini | 27.3% | 23.3% | 18.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Steven Pelissier | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 11.8% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 11.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| T. Max Bulger | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Schon | 16.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 34.3% |
| Zachary O'Brien | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 19.0% | 30.3% |
| Timothy Scanlon | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Rudkin | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 9.2% |
| Tyler Black | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.