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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.18+3.64vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.18+2.84vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+4.20vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.54+6.38vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.96+2.96vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.45-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.02-1.92vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.09+0.43vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.82-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut-1.19-1.01vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.94vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-1.68-1.49vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-2.68+0.28vs Predicted
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14Williams College-1.12-5.57vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.12-3.20vs Predicted
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16Amherst College-2.45-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64University of Vermont0.1815.3%1st Place
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4.84Dartmouth College0.1813.8%1st Place
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7.2University of New Hampshire-0.005.9%1st Place
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10.38University of New Hampshire-1.542.9%1st Place
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7.96Boston University-0.964.5%1st Place
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3.92Brown University0.4519.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Vermont-0.0212.0%1st Place
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8.43University of New Hampshire-1.094.5%1st Place
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7.74University of New Hampshire-0.825.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Connecticut-1.193.6%1st Place
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10.06University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.8%1st Place
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10.51Middlebury College-1.682.2%1st Place
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13.28Amherst College-2.681.1%1st Place
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8.43Williams College-1.124.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.121.8%1st Place
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12.74Amherst College-2.451.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Amelotte | 15.3% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas David | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Quinn Brighton | 19.2% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Denker | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Jake Lacoche | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Bullock | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 4.3% |
| Robin Potter | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% |
| Colin Sueyoshi | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 36.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Graham | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.6% |
| Rufus Fender-Reid | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 20.6% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.