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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.25+7.15vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.04+3.78vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.08+5.85vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.92-0.32vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.30+2.99vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.34-0.84vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-2.34vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.22+0.21vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.18-3.40vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-0.52+3.49vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.14+0.74vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.01-6.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.86-3.38vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.75+0.11vs Predicted
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15Florida State University0.21-3.53vs Predicted
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16Boston University-1.11-1.17vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.61-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Bowdoin College1.250.1%1st Place
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5.78College of Charleston2.040.1%1st Place
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8.85Jacksonville University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.68Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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7.99Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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5.16Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.66Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.21George Washington University1.220.1%1st Place
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5.6University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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13.49University of Michigan-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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5.91Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy0.860.0%1st Place
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14.11Fordham University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.47Florida State University0.210.0%1st Place
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14.83Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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13.74Washington College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Reimer | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Emma Tallman | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Agija Elerte | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma Cowles | 21.7% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 14.2% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 3.8% |
| Katherine McNamara | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Hemans | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 23.7% |
| Niah Ford | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 2.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 0.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 36.9% |
| Hartley Meyer | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.